Players to Buy and Sell in Dynasty Leagues (Fantasy Baseball 2022)

Congratulations on your 2022 season. If you’re in a redraft league, it’s time to kick back, breathe, and enjoy playoff baseball without any involvement. If you’re in a Dynasty League, however, your offseason is likely a bit shorter – with some Dynasty Leagues opening trades the day after the season.

Dynasty really is – for better or for worse – a round-the-clock hobby for fantasy managers, as the offseason is used to build your squad for the next run. A great way to do this is to highlight players you can look to acquire on the cheap and others who might be in the best position to return if you think they’ve outperformed.

Below are some Dynasty buys and sells you should consider doing, and they range from low buy and sell to high buy and sell. Context matters here.

Players to Buy and Sell in Dynasty Leagues

To buy – Dustin May (SP-LAD)

We were thrilled to see May return after missing the season with Tommy John surgery, but when he did return he struggled mightily. In six starts that spanned 30 innings, May had a 4.50 ERA, 4.38 FIP and 4.21 xFIP with his K% dipping to 22.8.

Not great, Bob.

It does, however, provide a buying opportunity for those who are discouraged. Over five starts in 2021, May has seen his K% climb to 37.6 thanks to his curveball responsible for 16 of his 35 strikeouts. Batters have seen 42 swerves in 2021 and only managed a 0.43 xBA against the pitch. In his brief 2022 season, he was his best ground again, producing a 47.6 Whiff% and a 0.175 xBA.

May has ace potential and should get a decent discount thanks to her most recent stats.

Sale – Tony Gonsolin (SP-LAD)

I think I’m on an island with this one, but I find it hard to trust a pitcher who averaged 5.1 innings per start in his 28-year-old season and knocked out batters at only 23.9%. Additionally, among pitchers with at least 130 innings, Gonsolin’s .207 BABIP was by far the lowest in the league. Next closest was Cristian Javier at 0.228.

Gonsolin is a good pitcher, but he’s also easy to fade for 2023 and beyond.

To buy – Ke’Bryan Hayes (3B – PIT)

Hayes does so many things right, that when you look at his Statcast chart, you’d think he was an All-Star player. He has elite defense, solid plate approach, elite level exit speed and HardHit% but no power.

Like, none.

In three seasons (1,051 plate appearances), Hayes has 18 homers. That’s crazy for a player with a HardHit % of 47.2 and an exit speed of 90.9 on the same stretch.

But the problem is that he does not raise the ball. The HardHit% is great, but if you pair that with a 4.4 launch angle, you won’t get the barrels you need to be productive.

For reference, the average launch angle in the league is 12.1%. If Hayes could even raise it to 7 or 8 percent, we might see a sea change. In 2022, Nathaniel Lowe had a launch angle of 8.2 with an average exit velocity of 90.2. That mark went up from 5 in 2021, and its change – while still holding true with its HardHit% and Exit Velocity – went from 18 home runs to 27 this year.

I believe Hayes is capable of adapting to unlock the power of his profile, but time is running out for him to be more than a defensive specialist.

Sale – Tampa Bay Pitchers

Are we painting here with brushes that are too wide? Maybe, but there are serious injuries in the Tampa Bay pitching ranks.

We just saw Nick Anderson and Tyler Glasnow return to the mound after arm injuries. Now Shane Baz is out with Tommy John. That’s on top of Shane McClanahan narrowly avoiding a catastrophic injury in August. We can continue with Brendan McKay, Andrew Kittredge, Colin Poche, etc.

I don’t avoid them all of course, but we’re starting to see a trend here. If this is the tiebreaker for me, so be it.

To buy – Errer Franco (SS – TBR)

Many were on Franco before this season, and it didn’t really make sense. He didn’t set the world on fire in his rookie year, so many people gave him the “better in real life than in fantasy” label he didn’t deserve. H2022 is going to give these people the confirmation they think they deserve.

But do they?

Franco was limited to 83 games due to injuries, giving him 153 games during his big league career. It’s pretty close to a sample of the full season, so let’s see what his line is – .282/.337/.439, 13 HR, 99 R, 74 RBI and 10 SB.

So far, real life is better than fantasy with these numbers, because 13 circuits do absolutely nothing for you. OWhat Franco has is elite plate coverage (10.7K career) and elite contact skills. His 94.2 area contact percentage was fifth in the league last year, behind Luis Arraez, Miguel Rojas, Isiah Kiner-Falefa and Steven Kwan.

On the one hand, it’s a great company. On the other hand, it’s the company that Franco keeps that presents a power profile close to zero. Jthis is where reconnaissance reports are to be trusted. Franco is only 21 and he’s a 55/55 Raw Power and 45/60 Game Power guy.

The power will come. The speed will come. A full and healthy season from Franco next year could easily give him numbers of 20/15 with an average of .290 at 22.

If there is a frustrated French manager who sees other young people pass him by, look to capitalize.

Sale – Cardinals Pitchers

I love Jordan Montgomery, but that’s about it here. One of the easiest calls for me in 2023 will be to get the St. Louis pitching staff gone.

Adam Wainwright is 41 and has not announced if he will play next year. Miles Mikolas has been fantastic this year, but has a profile that forces him to walk a fine line every start. With little room for error, it’s hard to trust from season to season lest he trust us.

Jose Quintana turned a great season with the Pirates into a trade with the Cardinals where he continued to be a solid pitcher. This assumes that the 2022 version we saw is the real version and not the version that was one of the worst pitchers in baseball over the previous three years. Finally, there’s Jack Flaherty, who has an elite profile but struggles with command, control and health.

Sure, I’m fine with getting them all, but at their expected ADP and based on what they’ve done this year, I’d be looking to move everyone I can in my offseason.

Fast hitters

To buy – Andrew Vaughn (DH–CHW)

It looks like Jose Abreu won’t be in Chicago next year, and without Tony La Russa in town to force him to play the outfield, Vaughn should settle well at first base.

Sale – Judge Aaron (OF – NYY)

That’s where the high sell comes in. You’re not moving it for anything other than the king’s ransom, but we’re not playing with the 2022 numbers anymore. Regression will happen.

To buy – Luis Robert (OF – CHW)

OK, so he didn’t have the MVP-caliber season I was hoping for, but Robert will have a full offseason to get his health back.

Sale – Launch outlook

I love Ricky Tiedemann, but we’ve seen how likely those prospects are to crumble before they even hit the majors.

To buy – Baltimore Pitchers

I hate the changes Baltimore made to their ballpark, but there’s no doubting the way they played. As long as it stays that way, you can get Baltimore guns on the cheap.

Sale – Joey Gallo (OF – LAD)

Does anyone still believe in Gallo? If they do, they’ll probably think he has one last chance to bounce back next year when the changing rules are changed. Take whatever you can get for him.

To buy – Austin Wells (C–NYY)

You’re going to have to put a Yankees tax on Wells, but if you’re looking for the next Daulton Varsho where a receiver-eligible player can be productive and play on the field, Wells is your man for 2023.

Sale – Riley Greene (OF – DET)

It’s scary to write him off – and I’m not – as a former No. 1 prospect, but his game has always lacked something about fantasy. His cap, to me at least, feels like it’s a similar skill set that we can see in other players who will come for less.

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Michael Waterloo is a featured writer for FantasyPros. For more on Michael, check out his archive and follow him @MichaelWaterloo.

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